Detailed_results_20141219_010400_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058.txt Sat Apr 30 02:31:34 UTC 2016 >> file 2014-12-19_3_CMEs_Control_File_Saved_2016-04-28T1700Z.txt exists and has 109 lines, 109 datalines >> There are 99 data_rows and 3 cmes/m_groups >> Using CR2163, Lon 154, and Startdate 2015-05-05 >> iswatag is 20141219_010400_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058 (1. 1st CME ID in control file) >> CME Spacecraft Start Image Date Start Image Type End Image Date End Image Type >> 2014-12-19T01:04_CME (1) SOHO 2014-12-19T00:27:00Z C3 2014-12-20T14:30:00Z C3 >> 2014-12-19T10:48_CME (2) SOHO 2014-12-19T00:27:00Z C3 2014-12-20T14:30:00Z C3 >> 2014-12-20T01:25_CME (3) SOHO 2014-12-19T00:27:00Z C3 2014-12-20T14:30:00Z C3 >> Ensemble CME modeling at SWRC is performed by building sets of initial CME parameters and carrying out separate simulations for each set. This approach allows a mapping of initial CME parameter uncertainties into a statistical characterization of CME arrival times and impact at locations of interest. Description of links: The first two links show the WSA-ENLIL+Cone model animation for the median ensemble member, the third link is a histogram of predicted arrival times, and the last link is a stack plot showing the WSA-ENLIL+Cone modeled velocity, magnetic field, density, and temperature. For missions near Earth, a histogram of the probabilistic Kp forecast is also provided. =================================Earth=================================== Earth (summary, more details follow below): Number_of_hits_Earth= 0 Number_of_miss_Earth=32 Percentage_hits_Earth= 0% No CME simulation in this ensemble hit Earth or the impact is weak Earth results for median input parameters: Arrival time maxKp(90,135,180) Rmin(Re) Duration (hrs) None: CME did not hit Earth or impact is weak http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2015-05-05_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058/20141219_010400_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058_anim_tim-den.gif http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2015-05-05_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058/20141219_010400_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058_anim_tim-vel.gif http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2015-05-05_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058/20141219_010400_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058_Earth_stack.gif ===========================other locations=============================== Spitzer: Number_of_hits_Spitz= 0 Number_of_miss_Spitz=32 Percentage_hits_Spitz= 0% No CME simulation in this ensemble hit Spitzer or the impact is weak http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2015-05-05_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058/20141219_010400_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058_Spitz_stack.gif STEREO A: Number_of_hits_STA= 0 Number_of_miss_STA=32 Percentage_hits_STA= 0% No CME simulation in this ensemble hit STEREO A or the impact is weak http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2015-05-05_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058/20141219_010400_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058_STA_stack.gif STEREO B: Number_of_hits_STB= 0 Number_of_miss_STB=32 Percentage_hits_STB= 0% No CME simulation in this ensemble hit STEREO B or the impact is weak http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2015-05-05_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058/20141219_010400_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058_STB_stack.gif Mars: Number_of_hits_Mars= 0 Number_of_miss_Mars=32 Percentage_hits_Mars= 0% No CME simulation in this ensemble hit Mars or the impact is weak http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2015-05-05_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058/20141219_010400_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058_Mars_stack.gif ========================================================================= Earth table (NCMES=3) # time (21.5Rs) Lat Lon w/2 v flag Arrival time maxKp(90,135,180) FP Rmin(Re) Duration (hrs) 1 2014-12-18T23:28','2014-12-19T22:54','2014-12-20T04:11 -6.,10.,-41. -14.,-80.,22. 38.,15.,26. 887.,334.,941. H 2 2014-12-19T00:47','2014-12-19T21:54','2014-12-20T05:17 -8.,10.,-40. -22.,-80.,34. 44.,27.,46. 806.,334.,700. H 3 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T04:02 -10.,10.,-34. -19.,-80.,15. 45.,20.,33. 902.,334.,850. H 4 2014-12-18T23:35','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-37. -19.,-80.,22. 35.,25.,30. 887.,334.,776. H 5 2014-12-19T23:30','2014-12-19T22:10','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 40.,30.,30. 890.,334.,813. H 6 2014-12-19T00:10','2014-12-19T22:15','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 45.,35.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 7 2014-12-19T23:55','2014-12-19T22:50','2014-12-20T04:00 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 50.,27.,40. 887.,300.,813. H 8 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T03:50 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,50. 887.,350.,813. H 9 2014-12-19T01:30','2014-12-19T22:05','2014-12-20T05:30 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,37. 700.,400.,700. H 10 2014-12-19T01:15','2014-12-19T21:55','2014-12-20T05:25 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,40. 750.,450.,750. H 11 2014-12-19T01:05','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:20 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-60.,22. 44.,27.,40. 800.,334.,800. H 12 2014-12-19T00:01','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:15 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-65.,22. 44.,27.,40. 850.,334.,850. H 13 2014-12-18T23:15','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:05 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-70.,22. 44.,27.,39. 950.,334.,900. H 14 2014-12-18T23:00','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:55 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-75.,22. 44.,27.,39. 1000.,334.,950. H 15 2014-12-18T22:50','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-85.,15. 44.,27.,35. 1050.,334.,813. H 16 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -10.,-90.,20. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 17 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,5.,-39. -15.,-80.,25. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 18 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,15.,-39. -20.,-80.,30. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 19 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,20.,-39. -25.,-80.,35. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 20 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,25.,-20. -30.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 21 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:55','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,5.,-25. -35.,-60.,22. 44.,20.,35. 887.,300.,813. H 22 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T21:40','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-30. -40.,-90.,22. 44.,35.,35. 887.,400.,813. H 23 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -1.,10.,-35. -19.,-90.,22. 44.,20.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 24 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -5.,1.,-40. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,30.,35. 887.,300.,813. H 25 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -10.,10.,-45. -19.,-70.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,360.,813. H 26 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -15.,10.,-50. -19.,-75.,22. 44.,35.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 27 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:15','2014-12-20T04:15 -20.,15.,-39. -19.,-85.,22. 44.,30.,35. 887.,380.,850. H 28 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:50','2014-12-20T04:15 -25.,5.,-30. -19.,-70.,30. 44.,27.,30. 887.,310.,850. H 29 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:10 -30.,10.,-20. -19.,-75.,40. 44.,25.,40. 887.,350.,900. H 30 2014-12-19T01:30','2014-12-19T22:10','2014-12-20T04:55 -5.,5.,-30. -10.,-80.,15. 35.,27.,30. 800.,390.,750. H 31 2014-12-18T23:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:10 -20.,20.,-35. -25.,-60.,35. 50.,20.,35. 1000.,310.,840. H 32 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T21:55','2014-12-20T04:05 -1.,5.,-37. -10.,-90.,20. 44.,35.,37. 800.,390.,850. H 33 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. M ========== Spitzer table (NCMES=3) # time (21.5Rs) Lat Lon w/2 v flag Arrival time 1 2014-12-18T23:28','2014-12-19T22:54','2014-12-20T04:11 -6.,10.,-41. -14.,-80.,22. 38.,15.,26. 887.,334.,941. H 2 2014-12-19T00:47','2014-12-19T21:54','2014-12-20T05:17 -8.,10.,-40. -22.,-80.,34. 44.,27.,46. 806.,334.,700. H 3 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T04:02 -10.,10.,-34. -19.,-80.,15. 45.,20.,33. 902.,334.,850. H 4 2014-12-18T23:35','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-37. -19.,-80.,22. 35.,25.,30. 887.,334.,776. H 5 2014-12-19T23:30','2014-12-19T22:10','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 40.,30.,30. 890.,334.,813. H 6 2014-12-19T00:10','2014-12-19T22:15','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 45.,35.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 7 2014-12-19T23:55','2014-12-19T22:50','2014-12-20T04:00 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 50.,27.,40. 887.,300.,813. H 8 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T03:50 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,50. 887.,350.,813. H 9 2014-12-19T01:30','2014-12-19T22:05','2014-12-20T05:30 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,37. 700.,400.,700. H 10 2014-12-19T01:15','2014-12-19T21:55','2014-12-20T05:25 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,40. 750.,450.,750. H 11 2014-12-19T01:05','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:20 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-60.,22. 44.,27.,40. 800.,334.,800. H 12 2014-12-19T00:01','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:15 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-65.,22. 44.,27.,40. 850.,334.,850. H 13 2014-12-18T23:15','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:05 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-70.,22. 44.,27.,39. 950.,334.,900. H 14 2014-12-18T23:00','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:55 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-75.,22. 44.,27.,39. 1000.,334.,950. H 15 2014-12-18T22:50','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-85.,15. 44.,27.,35. 1050.,334.,813. H 16 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -10.,-90.,20. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 17 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,5.,-39. -15.,-80.,25. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 18 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,15.,-39. -20.,-80.,30. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 19 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,20.,-39. -25.,-80.,35. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 20 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,25.,-20. -30.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 21 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:55','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,5.,-25. -35.,-60.,22. 44.,20.,35. 887.,300.,813. H 22 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T21:40','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-30. -40.,-90.,22. 44.,35.,35. 887.,400.,813. H 23 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -1.,10.,-35. -19.,-90.,22. 44.,20.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 24 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -5.,1.,-40. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,30.,35. 887.,300.,813. H 25 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -10.,10.,-45. -19.,-70.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,360.,813. H 26 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -15.,10.,-50. -19.,-75.,22. 44.,35.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 27 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:15','2014-12-20T04:15 -20.,15.,-39. -19.,-85.,22. 44.,30.,35. 887.,380.,850. H 28 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:50','2014-12-20T04:15 -25.,5.,-30. -19.,-70.,30. 44.,27.,30. 887.,310.,850. H 29 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:10 -30.,10.,-20. -19.,-75.,40. 44.,25.,40. 887.,350.,900. H 30 2014-12-19T01:30','2014-12-19T22:10','2014-12-20T04:55 -5.,5.,-30. -10.,-80.,15. 35.,27.,30. 800.,390.,750. H 31 2014-12-18T23:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:10 -20.,20.,-35. -25.,-60.,35. 50.,20.,35. 1000.,310.,840. H 32 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T21:55','2014-12-20T04:05 -1.,5.,-37. -10.,-90.,20. 44.,35.,37. 800.,390.,850. H 33 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. M ========== STEREO A table (NCMES=3) # time (21.5Rs) Lat Lon w/2 v flag Arrival time 1 2014-12-18T23:28','2014-12-19T22:54','2014-12-20T04:11 -6.,10.,-41. -14.,-80.,22. 38.,15.,26. 887.,334.,941. H 2 2014-12-19T00:47','2014-12-19T21:54','2014-12-20T05:17 -8.,10.,-40. -22.,-80.,34. 44.,27.,46. 806.,334.,700. H 3 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T04:02 -10.,10.,-34. -19.,-80.,15. 45.,20.,33. 902.,334.,850. H 4 2014-12-18T23:35','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-37. -19.,-80.,22. 35.,25.,30. 887.,334.,776. H 5 2014-12-19T23:30','2014-12-19T22:10','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 40.,30.,30. 890.,334.,813. H 6 2014-12-19T00:10','2014-12-19T22:15','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 45.,35.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 7 2014-12-19T23:55','2014-12-19T22:50','2014-12-20T04:00 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 50.,27.,40. 887.,300.,813. H 8 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T03:50 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,50. 887.,350.,813. H 9 2014-12-19T01:30','2014-12-19T22:05','2014-12-20T05:30 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,37. 700.,400.,700. H 10 2014-12-19T01:15','2014-12-19T21:55','2014-12-20T05:25 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,40. 750.,450.,750. H 11 2014-12-19T01:05','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:20 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-60.,22. 44.,27.,40. 800.,334.,800. H 12 2014-12-19T00:01','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:15 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-65.,22. 44.,27.,40. 850.,334.,850. H 13 2014-12-18T23:15','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:05 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-70.,22. 44.,27.,39. 950.,334.,900. H 14 2014-12-18T23:00','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:55 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-75.,22. 44.,27.,39. 1000.,334.,950. H 15 2014-12-18T22:50','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-85.,15. 44.,27.,35. 1050.,334.,813. H 16 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -10.,-90.,20. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 17 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,5.,-39. -15.,-80.,25. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 18 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,15.,-39. -20.,-80.,30. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 19 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,20.,-39. -25.,-80.,35. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 20 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,25.,-20. -30.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 21 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:55','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,5.,-25. -35.,-60.,22. 44.,20.,35. 887.,300.,813. H 22 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T21:40','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-30. -40.,-90.,22. 44.,35.,35. 887.,400.,813. H 23 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -1.,10.,-35. -19.,-90.,22. 44.,20.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 24 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -5.,1.,-40. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,30.,35. 887.,300.,813. H 25 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -10.,10.,-45. -19.,-70.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,360.,813. H 26 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -15.,10.,-50. -19.,-75.,22. 44.,35.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 27 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:15','2014-12-20T04:15 -20.,15.,-39. -19.,-85.,22. 44.,30.,35. 887.,380.,850. H 28 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:50','2014-12-20T04:15 -25.,5.,-30. -19.,-70.,30. 44.,27.,30. 887.,310.,850. H 29 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:10 -30.,10.,-20. -19.,-75.,40. 44.,25.,40. 887.,350.,900. H 30 2014-12-19T01:30','2014-12-19T22:10','2014-12-20T04:55 -5.,5.,-30. -10.,-80.,15. 35.,27.,30. 800.,390.,750. H 31 2014-12-18T23:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:10 -20.,20.,-35. -25.,-60.,35. 50.,20.,35. 1000.,310.,840. H 32 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T21:55','2014-12-20T04:05 -1.,5.,-37. -10.,-90.,20. 44.,35.,37. 800.,390.,850. H 33 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. M ========== STEREO B table (NCMES=3) # time (21.5Rs) Lat Lon w/2 v flag Arrival time 1 2014-12-18T23:28','2014-12-19T22:54','2014-12-20T04:11 -6.,10.,-41. -14.,-80.,22. 38.,15.,26. 887.,334.,941. H 2 2014-12-19T00:47','2014-12-19T21:54','2014-12-20T05:17 -8.,10.,-40. -22.,-80.,34. 44.,27.,46. 806.,334.,700. H 3 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T04:02 -10.,10.,-34. -19.,-80.,15. 45.,20.,33. 902.,334.,850. H 4 2014-12-18T23:35','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-37. -19.,-80.,22. 35.,25.,30. 887.,334.,776. H 5 2014-12-19T23:30','2014-12-19T22:10','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 40.,30.,30. 890.,334.,813. H 6 2014-12-19T00:10','2014-12-19T22:15','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 45.,35.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 7 2014-12-19T23:55','2014-12-19T22:50','2014-12-20T04:00 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 50.,27.,40. 887.,300.,813. H 8 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T03:50 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,50. 887.,350.,813. H 9 2014-12-19T01:30','2014-12-19T22:05','2014-12-20T05:30 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,37. 700.,400.,700. H 10 2014-12-19T01:15','2014-12-19T21:55','2014-12-20T05:25 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,40. 750.,450.,750. H 11 2014-12-19T01:05','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:20 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-60.,22. 44.,27.,40. 800.,334.,800. H 12 2014-12-19T00:01','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:15 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-65.,22. 44.,27.,40. 850.,334.,850. H 13 2014-12-18T23:15','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:05 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-70.,22. 44.,27.,39. 950.,334.,900. H 14 2014-12-18T23:00','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:55 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-75.,22. 44.,27.,39. 1000.,334.,950. H 15 2014-12-18T22:50','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-85.,15. 44.,27.,35. 1050.,334.,813. H 16 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -10.,-90.,20. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 17 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,5.,-39. -15.,-80.,25. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 18 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,15.,-39. -20.,-80.,30. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 19 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,20.,-39. -25.,-80.,35. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 20 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,25.,-20. -30.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 21 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:55','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,5.,-25. -35.,-60.,22. 44.,20.,35. 887.,300.,813. H 22 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T21:40','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-30. -40.,-90.,22. 44.,35.,35. 887.,400.,813. H 23 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -1.,10.,-35. -19.,-90.,22. 44.,20.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 24 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -5.,1.,-40. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,30.,35. 887.,300.,813. H 25 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -10.,10.,-45. -19.,-70.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,360.,813. H 26 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -15.,10.,-50. -19.,-75.,22. 44.,35.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 27 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:15','2014-12-20T04:15 -20.,15.,-39. -19.,-85.,22. 44.,30.,35. 887.,380.,850. H 28 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:50','2014-12-20T04:15 -25.,5.,-30. -19.,-70.,30. 44.,27.,30. 887.,310.,850. H 29 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:10 -30.,10.,-20. -19.,-75.,40. 44.,25.,40. 887.,350.,900. H 30 2014-12-19T01:30','2014-12-19T22:10','2014-12-20T04:55 -5.,5.,-30. -10.,-80.,15. 35.,27.,30. 800.,390.,750. H 31 2014-12-18T23:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:10 -20.,20.,-35. -25.,-60.,35. 50.,20.,35. 1000.,310.,840. H 32 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T21:55','2014-12-20T04:05 -1.,5.,-37. -10.,-90.,20. 44.,35.,37. 800.,390.,850. H 33 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. M ========== Mars table (NCMES=3) # time (21.5Rs) Lat Lon w/2 v flag Arrival time 1 2014-12-18T23:28','2014-12-19T22:54','2014-12-20T04:11 -6.,10.,-41. -14.,-80.,22. 38.,15.,26. 887.,334.,941. H 2 2014-12-19T00:47','2014-12-19T21:54','2014-12-20T05:17 -8.,10.,-40. -22.,-80.,34. 44.,27.,46. 806.,334.,700. H 3 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T04:02 -10.,10.,-34. -19.,-80.,15. 45.,20.,33. 902.,334.,850. H 4 2014-12-18T23:35','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-37. -19.,-80.,22. 35.,25.,30. 887.,334.,776. H 5 2014-12-19T23:30','2014-12-19T22:10','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 40.,30.,30. 890.,334.,813. H 6 2014-12-19T00:10','2014-12-19T22:15','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 45.,35.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 7 2014-12-19T23:55','2014-12-19T22:50','2014-12-20T04:00 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 50.,27.,40. 887.,300.,813. H 8 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T03:50 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,50. 887.,350.,813. H 9 2014-12-19T01:30','2014-12-19T22:05','2014-12-20T05:30 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,37. 700.,400.,700. H 10 2014-12-19T01:15','2014-12-19T21:55','2014-12-20T05:25 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,40. 750.,450.,750. H 11 2014-12-19T01:05','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:20 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-60.,22. 44.,27.,40. 800.,334.,800. H 12 2014-12-19T00:01','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:15 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-65.,22. 44.,27.,40. 850.,334.,850. H 13 2014-12-18T23:15','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:05 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-70.,22. 44.,27.,39. 950.,334.,900. H 14 2014-12-18T23:00','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:55 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-75.,22. 44.,27.,39. 1000.,334.,950. H 15 2014-12-18T22:50','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-85.,15. 44.,27.,35. 1050.,334.,813. H 16 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -10.,-90.,20. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 17 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,5.,-39. -15.,-80.,25. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 18 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,15.,-39. -20.,-80.,30. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 19 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,20.,-39. -25.,-80.,35. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 20 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,25.,-20. -30.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 21 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:55','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,5.,-25. -35.,-60.,22. 44.,20.,35. 887.,300.,813. H 22 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T21:40','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-30. -40.,-90.,22. 44.,35.,35. 887.,400.,813. H 23 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -1.,10.,-35. -19.,-90.,22. 44.,20.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 24 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -5.,1.,-40. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,30.,35. 887.,300.,813. H 25 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -10.,10.,-45. -19.,-70.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,360.,813. H 26 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -15.,10.,-50. -19.,-75.,22. 44.,35.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 27 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:15','2014-12-20T04:15 -20.,15.,-39. -19.,-85.,22. 44.,30.,35. 887.,380.,850. H 28 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:50','2014-12-20T04:15 -25.,5.,-30. -19.,-70.,30. 44.,27.,30. 887.,310.,850. H 29 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:10 -30.,10.,-20. -19.,-75.,40. 44.,25.,40. 887.,350.,900. H 30 2014-12-19T01:30','2014-12-19T22:10','2014-12-20T04:55 -5.,5.,-30. -10.,-80.,15. 35.,27.,30. 800.,390.,750. H 31 2014-12-18T23:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:10 -20.,20.,-35. -25.,-60.,35. 50.,20.,35. 1000.,310.,840. H 32 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T21:55','2014-12-20T04:05 -1.,5.,-37. -10.,-90.,20. 44.,35.,37. 800.,390.,850. H 33 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. M ========== MERCURY table (NCMES=3) # time (21.5Rs) Lat Lon w/2 v flag Arrival time 1 2014-12-18T23:28','2014-12-19T22:54','2014-12-20T04:11 -6.,10.,-41. -14.,-80.,22. 38.,15.,26. 887.,334.,941. H 2 2014-12-19T00:47','2014-12-19T21:54','2014-12-20T05:17 -8.,10.,-40. -22.,-80.,34. 44.,27.,46. 806.,334.,700. H 3 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T04:02 -10.,10.,-34. -19.,-80.,15. 45.,20.,33. 902.,334.,850. H 4 2014-12-18T23:35','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-37. -19.,-80.,22. 35.,25.,30. 887.,334.,776. H 5 2014-12-19T23:30','2014-12-19T22:10','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 40.,30.,30. 890.,334.,813. H 6 2014-12-19T00:10','2014-12-19T22:15','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 45.,35.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 7 2014-12-19T23:55','2014-12-19T22:50','2014-12-20T04:00 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 50.,27.,40. 887.,300.,813. H 8 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T03:50 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,50. 887.,350.,813. H 9 2014-12-19T01:30','2014-12-19T22:05','2014-12-20T05:30 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,37. 700.,400.,700. H 10 2014-12-19T01:15','2014-12-19T21:55','2014-12-20T05:25 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,40. 750.,450.,750. H 11 2014-12-19T01:05','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:20 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-60.,22. 44.,27.,40. 800.,334.,800. H 12 2014-12-19T00:01','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:15 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-65.,22. 44.,27.,40. 850.,334.,850. H 13 2014-12-18T23:15','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:05 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-70.,22. 44.,27.,39. 950.,334.,900. H 14 2014-12-18T23:00','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:55 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-75.,22. 44.,27.,39. 1000.,334.,950. H 15 2014-12-18T22:50','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-85.,15. 44.,27.,35. 1050.,334.,813. H 16 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -10.,-90.,20. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 17 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,5.,-39. -15.,-80.,25. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 18 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,15.,-39. -20.,-80.,30. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 19 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,20.,-39. -25.,-80.,35. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 20 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,25.,-20. -30.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 21 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:55','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,5.,-25. -35.,-60.,22. 44.,20.,35. 887.,300.,813. H 22 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T21:40','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-30. -40.,-90.,22. 44.,35.,35. 887.,400.,813. H 23 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -1.,10.,-35. -19.,-90.,22. 44.,20.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 24 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -5.,1.,-40. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,30.,35. 887.,300.,813. H 25 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -10.,10.,-45. -19.,-70.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,360.,813. H 26 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -15.,10.,-50. -19.,-75.,22. 44.,35.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 27 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:15','2014-12-20T04:15 -20.,15.,-39. -19.,-85.,22. 44.,30.,35. 887.,380.,850. H 28 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:50','2014-12-20T04:15 -25.,5.,-30. -19.,-70.,30. 44.,27.,30. 887.,310.,850. H 29 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:10 -30.,10.,-20. -19.,-75.,40. 44.,25.,40. 887.,350.,900. H 30 2014-12-19T01:30','2014-12-19T22:10','2014-12-20T04:55 -5.,5.,-30. -10.,-80.,15. 35.,27.,30. 800.,390.,750. H 31 2014-12-18T23:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:10 -20.,20.,-35. -25.,-60.,35. 50.,20.,35. 1000.,310.,840. H 32 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T21:55','2014-12-20T04:05 -1.,5.,-37. -10.,-90.,20. 44.,35.,37. 800.,390.,850. H 33 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. M MERCURY: Number_of_hits_Mess= 0 Number_of_miss_Mess=32 Percentage_hits_Mess= 0% No CME simulation in this ensemble hit MESSENGER or the impact is weak http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2015-05-05_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058/20141219_010400_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058_Mess_stack.gif ========== Venus table (NCMES=3) # time (21.5Rs) Lat Lon w/2 v flag Arrival time 1 2014-12-18T23:28','2014-12-19T22:54','2014-12-20T04:11 -6.,10.,-41. -14.,-80.,22. 38.,15.,26. 887.,334.,941. H 2 2014-12-19T00:47','2014-12-19T21:54','2014-12-20T05:17 -8.,10.,-40. -22.,-80.,34. 44.,27.,46. 806.,334.,700. H 3 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T04:02 -10.,10.,-34. -19.,-80.,15. 45.,20.,33. 902.,334.,850. H 4 2014-12-18T23:35','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-37. -19.,-80.,22. 35.,25.,30. 887.,334.,776. H 5 2014-12-19T23:30','2014-12-19T22:10','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 40.,30.,30. 890.,334.,813. H 6 2014-12-19T00:10','2014-12-19T22:15','2014-12-20T04:11 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 45.,35.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 7 2014-12-19T23:55','2014-12-19T22:50','2014-12-20T04:00 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 50.,27.,40. 887.,300.,813. H 8 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:24','2014-12-20T03:50 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,50. 887.,350.,813. H 9 2014-12-19T01:30','2014-12-19T22:05','2014-12-20T05:30 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,37. 700.,400.,700. H 10 2014-12-19T01:15','2014-12-19T21:55','2014-12-20T05:25 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,40. 750.,450.,750. H 11 2014-12-19T01:05','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:20 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-60.,22. 44.,27.,40. 800.,334.,800. H 12 2014-12-19T00:01','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:15 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-65.,22. 44.,27.,40. 850.,334.,850. H 13 2014-12-18T23:15','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T05:05 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-70.,22. 44.,27.,39. 950.,334.,900. H 14 2014-12-18T23:00','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:55 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-75.,22. 44.,27.,39. 1000.,334.,950. H 15 2014-12-18T22:50','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-85.,15. 44.,27.,35. 1050.,334.,813. H 16 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -10.,-90.,20. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 17 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,5.,-39. -15.,-80.,25. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 18 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,15.,-39. -20.,-80.,30. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 19 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,20.,-39. -25.,-80.,35. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 20 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,25.,-20. -30.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 21 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:55','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,5.,-25. -35.,-60.,22. 44.,20.,35. 887.,300.,813. H 22 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T21:40','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-30. -40.,-90.,22. 44.,35.,35. 887.,400.,813. H 23 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -1.,10.,-35. -19.,-90.,22. 44.,20.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 24 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -5.,1.,-40. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,30.,35. 887.,300.,813. H 25 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -10.,10.,-45. -19.,-70.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,360.,813. H 26 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -15.,10.,-50. -19.,-75.,22. 44.,35.,35. 887.,334.,813. H 27 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:15','2014-12-20T04:15 -20.,15.,-39. -19.,-85.,22. 44.,30.,35. 887.,380.,850. H 28 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:50','2014-12-20T04:15 -25.,5.,-30. -19.,-70.,30. 44.,27.,30. 887.,310.,850. H 29 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:10 -30.,10.,-20. -19.,-75.,40. 44.,25.,40. 887.,350.,900. H 30 2014-12-19T01:30','2014-12-19T22:10','2014-12-20T04:55 -5.,5.,-30. -10.,-80.,15. 35.,27.,30. 800.,390.,750. H 31 2014-12-18T23:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:10 -20.,20.,-35. -25.,-60.,35. 50.,20.,35. 1000.,310.,840. H 32 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T21:55','2014-12-20T04:05 -1.,5.,-37. -10.,-90.,20. 44.,35.,37. 800.,390.,850. H 33 2014-12-19T00:40','2014-12-19T22:19','2014-12-20T04:33 -8.,10.,-39. -19.,-80.,22. 44.,27.,35. 887.,334.,813. M Venus: Number_of_hits_Venus= 0 Number_of_miss_Venus=32 Percentage_hits_Venus= 0% No CME simulation in this ensemble hit Venus or the impact is weak http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2015-05-05_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058/20141219_010400_ncmes3_sims32_HILOX058_Venus_stack.gif