2014/01/02 12:47 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 11936+ 40 49 -16 0.300 0.200 0.090 0.050 0.040 51! 2 11938 4 3 -12 0.004 0.007 0.003 0.001 0.001 12 6 11942 4 -49 10 0.003 0.005 0.002 0.000 0.001 50! 4 11943+ 36 -57 -11 0.200 0.200 0.080 0.040 0.030 58! Disk Forecast Rates 0.500 0.400 0.200 0.090 0.070 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.2x 2.8x 2.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 92.00% 93.00% Uncertainties 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 8.00% 6.00%