2014/01/03 20:47 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 5 11938 1 16 -14 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 21 1 11941 4 48 -13 0.003 0.006 0.002 0.001 0.001 49! 7 11942 1 -37 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 38! 4 11943+ 84 -45 -11 1.000 0.500 0.300 0.200 0.100 46! 8 11945 0 -18 12 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 21 Disk Forecast Rates 1.000 0.600 0.300 0.200 0.100 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.3x 3.1x 2.6x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 30.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% Uncertainties 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 20.00% 10.00%