2014/01/09 15:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 4 11944 68 25 -9 0.800 0.400 0.200 0.100 0.080 26 6 11946 13 29 9 0.030 0.040 0.020 0.005 0.007 30! 5 11948 5 -30 6 0.004 0.007 0.003 0.001 0.001 30! 2 11949 7 -61 -15 0.008 0.010 0.005 0.001 0.002 62! Disk Forecast Rates 0.800 0.500 0.200 0.100 0.090 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.3x 3.0x 2.5x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 40.00% 60.00% 80.00% 90.00% 91.00% Uncertainties 40.00% 20.00% 10.00% 10.00% 8.00%