2014/01/11 07:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 4 11944 62 47 -9 0.700 0.400 0.200 0.100 0.070 47! 8 11946 19 50 9 0.070 0.060 0.030 0.010 0.010 50! 2 11949 6 -38 -16 0.007 0.010 0.005 0.001 0.002 41! 11 11950 3 -26 16 0.002 0.004 0.002 0.000 0.001 30! 6 11951 1 -7 -13 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 14 Disk Forecast Rates 0.700 0.400 0.200 0.100 0.090 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.2x 2.9x 2.4x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 50.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 92.00% Uncertainties 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 10.00% 7.00%