2014/01/22 11:11 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 8 11955 2 10 -14 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.000 0.000 17 12 11957 13 12 11 0.030 0.030 0.010 0.005 0.006 16 4 11959+ 25 -26 -24 0.100 0.090 0.040 0.020 0.020 35! 7 11961 7 54 -12 0.010 0.010 0.006 0.002 0.002 55! 9 11963 5 -49 -6 0.005 0.008 0.003 0.001 0.001 49! 5 11964 0 -45 -13 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 46! Disk Forecast Rates 0.200 0.100 0.070 0.030 0.030 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.2x 2.9x 2.4x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 90.00% 90.00% 93.00% 98.00% 97.00% Uncertainties 10.00% 10.00% 5.00% 3.00% 2.00%