2014/03/01 15:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 11 11986 2 49 14 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 50! 7 11987 7 25 -2 0.008 0.010 0.005 0.001 0.002 25 4 11988 7 59 -10 0.010 0.010 0.006 0.002 0.002 59! 8 11989 2 7 8 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 10 2 11990+ 18 -15 -14 0.060 0.050 0.030 0.009 0.010 20 1 11991 16 -29 -25 0.050 0.050 0.020 0.007 0.009 38! 10 11993 15 -22 16 0.040 0.040 0.020 0.007 0.008 27 6 11994 0 23 -6 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 23 Disk Forecast Rates 0.200 0.200 0.080 0.030 0.030 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.3x 3.1x 2.6x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 80.00% 80.00% 92.00% 97.00% 97.00% Uncertainties 10.00% 10.00% 6.00% 3.00% 3.00%