2014/03/01 22:23 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 10 11986 2 53 14 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 54! 7 11987 4 29 -2 0.003 0.006 0.003 0.001 0.001 29 4 11988 1 63 -10 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 63! 8 11989 1 11 8 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 13 2 11990+ 15 -11 -14 0.040 0.040 0.020 0.007 0.008 17 1 11991 17 -25 -25 0.060 0.050 0.020 0.009 0.010 35! 12 11993 14 -18 16 0.040 0.040 0.020 0.006 0.007 24 Disk Forecast Rates 0.100 0.100 0.070 0.020 0.030 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.3x 3.1x 2.6x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 90.00% 90.00% 94.00% 98.00% 97.00% Uncertainties 10.00% 9.00% 5.00% 2.00% 2.00%