2014/03/04 20:47 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 5 11989 4 53 8 0.004 0.007 0.003 0.001 0.001 53! 2 11990+ 14 28 -12 0.040 0.040 0.020 0.006 0.007 30! 1 11991 29 11 -23 0.200 0.100 0.050 0.020 0.020 25 10 11993 4 22 16 0.003 0.005 0.002 0.000 0.001 27 9 11996 9 -30 14 0.010 0.020 0.008 0.002 0.003 33! Disk Forecast Rates 0.200 0.200 0.080 0.030 0.030 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.2x 2.9x 2.4x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 80.00% 80.00% 92.00% 97.00% 97.00% Uncertainties 20.00% 10.00% 6.00% 3.00% 3.00%