2014/03/05 14:23 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 8 11989 1 63 7 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 63! 2 11990+ 18 35 -12 0.060 0.060 0.030 0.010 0.010 37! 1 11991 19 20 -24 0.070 0.060 0.030 0.010 0.010 31! 12 11993 8 30 16 0.010 0.020 0.008 0.002 0.003 34! 11 11996 9 -21 13 0.010 0.020 0.008 0.002 0.003 24 Disk Forecast Rates 0.200 0.200 0.070 0.020 0.030 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.3x 3.1x 2.6x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 90.00% 90.00% 93.00% 98.00% 97.00% Uncertainties 10.00% 10.00% 6.00% 3.00% 3.00%