2014/03/06 15:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 2 11990+ 14 49 -12 0.040 0.040 0.020 0.006 0.007 50! 1 11991 4 33 -24 0.004 0.006 0.003 0.001 0.001 40! 8 11993 5 44 16 0.004 0.007 0.003 0.001 0.001 46! 7 11996 15 -6 14 0.040 0.040 0.020 0.007 0.008 15 3 11998 12 -56 -10 0.030 0.030 0.010 0.004 0.005 56! 4 11999 2 -13 -17 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.000 0.000 21 Disk Forecast Rates 0.100 0.100 0.060 0.020 0.020 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.3x 3.2x 2.7x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 90.00% 90.00% 94.00% 98.00% 98.00% Uncertainties 10.00% 9.00% 5.00% 2.00% 2.00%