2014/03/08 15:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 11991 2 59 -24 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.000 0.000 63! 6 11996 8 18 15 0.010 0.020 0.007 0.002 0.003 23 3 11998 6 -30 -8 0.007 0.010 0.005 0.001 0.002 31! 4 11999 1 14 -16 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 21 5 12000 2 -18 -11 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.000 0.000 21 7 12001 5 59 18 0.005 0.009 0.004 0.001 0.002 61! Disk Forecast Rates 0.030 0.040 0.020 0.004 0.008 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.5x 4.0x 3.5x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 97.00% 96.00% 98.00% 99.60% 99.20% Uncertainties 3.00% 3.00% 2.00% 0.60% 0.90%