2014/03/09 20:47 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 11991 0 72 -26 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 76! 7 11996 15 34 15 0.040 0.040 0.020 0.007 0.008 37! 3 11998 6 -15 -9 0.006 0.010 0.004 0.001 0.002 17 4 11999 1 30 -16 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 34! 2 12002 24 -52 -19 0.100 0.080 0.040 0.020 0.020 55! Disk Forecast Rates 0.200 0.100 0.060 0.020 0.030 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.2x 2.9x 2.4x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 90.00% 90.00% 94.00% 98.00% 97.00% Uncertainties 10.00% 9.00% 5.00% 3.00% 2.00%