2014/03/20 04:47 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 2 12004 6 61 -10 0.007 0.010 0.004 0.001 0.002 61! 8 12005 3 25 13 0.002 0.005 0.002 0.000 0.001 28 1 12010 12 -36 -15 0.030 0.030 0.010 0.005 0.006 39! 5 12011 18 38 -7 0.060 0.060 0.030 0.010 0.010 38! 6 12013 4 -53 13 0.004 0.007 0.003 0.001 0.001 54! Disk Forecast Rates 0.100 0.100 0.050 0.020 0.020 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.3x 3.1x 2.6x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 90.00% 90.00% 95.00% 98.00% 98.00% Uncertainties 10.00% 8.00% 4.00% 2.00% 2.00%