2014/06/09 11:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 5 12077 5 58 -4 0.004 0.007 0.003 0.001 0.001 58! 8 12079 11 34 13 0.020 0.020 0.010 0.003 0.005 36! 2 12080+ 68 15 -12 0.800 0.400 0.200 0.100 0.080 19 7 12082 4 8 16 0.003 0.006 0.002 0.001 0.001 17 4 12084 3 48 -12 0.002 0.003 0.001 0.000 0.001 49! Disk Forecast Rates 0.800 0.400 0.200 0.100 0.090 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.3x 3.0x 2.5x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 40.00% 60.00% 80.00% 90.00% 91.00% Uncertainties 40.00% 20.00% 10.00% 10.00% 8.00%