2014/06/09 20:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 5 12077 0 63 -4 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 63! 8 12079 10 39 13 0.020 0.020 0.010 0.003 0.004 41! 2 12080+ 66 20 -12 0.800 0.400 0.200 0.100 0.080 23 10 12082 3 13 16 0.002 0.005 0.002 0.000 0.001 20 4 12084 1 53 -12 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 54! Disk Forecast Rates 0.800 0.400 0.200 0.100 0.090 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.2x 3.0x 2.5x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 50.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 92.00% Uncertainties 40.00% 20.00% 10.00% 10.00% 7.00%