2014/06/11 09:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 6 12079 16 61 13 0.050 0.050 0.020 0.008 0.009 62! 2 12080+ 65 41 -12 0.700 0.400 0.200 0.100 0.080 42! 7 12082 17 33 15 0.060 0.050 0.020 0.009 0.010 36! 3 12087 15 -65 -18 0.040 0.040 0.020 0.007 0.008 67! Disk Forecast Rates 0.900 0.500 0.300 0.200 0.100 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.2x 3.0x 2.4x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 40.00% 60.00% 80.00% 90.00% 90.00% Uncertainties 40.00% 20.00% 20.00% 10.00% 9.00%