2014/06/20 09:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 12087 12 54 -20 0.030 0.030 0.010 0.004 0.005 57! 7 12090 5 43 25 0.005 0.008 0.004 0.001 0.001 49! 2 12092 4 40 -21 0.003 0.005 0.002 0.000 0.001 45! 5 12093 9 -15 -10 0.020 0.020 0.009 0.002 0.004 18 3 12094 1 -24 -18 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 30! Disk Forecast Rates 0.050 0.060 0.030 0.008 0.010 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.4x 3.5x 3.0x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 95.00% 94.00% 97.00% 99.20% 99.00% Uncertainties 5.00% 5.00% 2.00% 1.00% 1.00%