2014/06/21 01:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 12087 7 63 -20 0.008 0.010 0.005 0.001 0.002 66! 7 12090 5 53 25 0.005 0.009 0.004 0.001 0.002 58! 2 12092 3 50 -18 0.002 0.005 0.002 0.000 0.001 53! 5 12093 11 -6 -9 0.020 0.020 0.010 0.003 0.005 10 3 12094 3 -15 -18 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.000 0.001 23 Disk Forecast Rates 0.040 0.050 0.020 0.006 0.010 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.4x 3.6x 3.1x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 96.00% 95.00% 98.00% 99.40% 99.00% Uncertainties 4.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.80% 1.00%