2014/06/21 06:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 12087+ 5 65 -20 0.004 0.007 0.003 0.001 0.001 68! 5 12090 6 55 25 0.006 0.010 0.004 0.001 0.002 60! 4 12093 11 -4 -9 0.020 0.030 0.010 0.003 0.005 9 2 12094 2 -13 -18 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 22 Disk Forecast Rates 0.040 0.050 0.020 0.005 0.009 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.4x 3.6x 3.1x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 96.00% 95.00% 98.00% 99.50% 99.10% Uncertainties 3.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.70% 1.00%