2014/08/01 21:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 7 12121 3 66 8 0.002 0.003 0.001 0.000 0.001 66! 4 12125 2 9 -14 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.000 0.001 16 6 12126 5 66 -9 0.006 0.009 0.004 0.001 0.002 66! 5 12127 15 -9 -9 0.040 0.040 0.020 0.007 0.008 12 2 12130+ 40 -29 -7 0.300 0.200 0.090 0.050 0.040 29 3 12131 3 -20 -18 0.002 0.004 0.002 0.000 0.001 26 Disk Forecast Rates 0.300 0.200 0.100 0.060 0.050 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.2x 2.8x 2.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 95.00% 95.00% Uncertainties 20.00% 10.00% 8.00% 5.00% 4.00%