2014/08/02 23:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 3 12125 1 24 -14 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 27 5 12127 5 5 -9 0.004 0.007 0.003 0.001 0.001 10 1 12130+ 30 -13 -7 0.200 0.100 0.060 0.030 0.020 14 2 12131 3 -5 -18 0.002 0.003 0.001 0.000 0.001 18 Disk Forecast Rates 0.200 0.100 0.060 0.030 0.030 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.2x 2.9x 2.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 80.00% 90.00% 94.00% 97.00% 97.00% Uncertainties 10.00% 9.00% 5.00% 3.00% 2.00%