2014/08/03 12:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 4 12125 0 32 -14 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 34! 6 12127 5 13 -8 0.005 0.009 0.004 0.001 0.002 15 2 12128+ 2 12 -21 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 24 8 12130 10 -8 -7 0.020 0.020 0.010 0.003 0.004 10 1 12132 16 -24 -19 0.050 0.050 0.020 0.008 0.009 30! 9 12134 10 -61 9 0.020 0.020 0.010 0.003 0.004 61! Disk Forecast Rates 0.090 0.100 0.050 0.010 0.020 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.3x 3.2x 2.7x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 91.00% 90.00% 95.00% 99.00% 98.00% Uncertainties 8.00% 7.00% 4.00% 2.00% 2.00%