2014/08/04 22:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 4 12127 6 32 -8 0.008 0.010 0.005 0.001 0.002 32! 5 12130 9 10 -7 0.020 0.020 0.009 0.002 0.003 12 2 12131 1 21 -19 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 28 1 12132 23 -5 -19 0.100 0.080 0.040 0.020 0.020 19 7 12134 12 -42 9 0.030 0.030 0.010 0.004 0.005 42! Disk Forecast Rates 0.200 0.100 0.070 0.020 0.030 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.2x 2.9x 2.4x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 90.00% 90.00% 94.00% 98.00% 97.00% Uncertainties 10.00% 9.00% 5.00% 3.00% 2.00%