2014/08/15 02:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 5 12135 5 46 13 0.004 0.007 0.003 0.001 0.001 47! 4 12139 11 -26 13 0.020 0.020 0.010 0.003 0.004 29 6 12141 10 -58 15 0.020 0.020 0.010 0.003 0.004 59! 2 12143 0 -59 -7 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 59! 1 12144 0 20 -17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 26 Disk Forecast Rates 0.050 0.060 0.030 0.007 0.010 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.4x 3.6x 3.1x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 95.00% 94.00% 97.00% 99.30% 99.00% Uncertainties 4.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.90% 1.00%