2014/08/16 03:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 5 12135 5 61 13 0.006 0.009 0.004 0.001 0.002 62! 3 12139 18 -11 13 0.060 0.050 0.030 0.009 0.010 17 4 12141 13 -43 15 0.030 0.030 0.020 0.005 0.006 45! 1 12144 13 35 -17 0.030 0.040 0.020 0.005 0.007 38! Disk Forecast Rates 0.100 0.100 0.060 0.020 0.020 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.3x 3.1x 2.6x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 90.00% 90.00% 94.00% 98.00% 98.00% Uncertainties 10.00% 9.00% 5.00% 2.00% 2.00%