2014/08/18 08:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 6 12139 5 18 14 0.005 0.008 0.003 0.001 0.001 22 7 12141 2 -13 16 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 20 1 12144 6 65 -17 0.008 0.010 0.005 0.001 0.002 67! 5 12146 8 -57 9 0.010 0.020 0.007 0.002 0.003 57! Disk Forecast Rates 0.030 0.040 0.020 0.004 0.007 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.5x 4.0x 3.5x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 97.00% 96.00% 98.00% 99.60% 99.30% Uncertainties 3.00% 3.00% 2.00% 0.50% 0.80%