2014/08/21 01:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 6 12139 5 50 15 0.004 0.007 0.003 0.001 0.001 52! 7 12141 1 21 16 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 26 2 12143 6 27 -4 0.007 0.010 0.004 0.001 0.002 27 4 12146 13 -19 9 0.030 0.040 0.020 0.005 0.007 21 1 12147 2 -31 -9 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 32! 3 12148 23 -39 6 0.100 0.080 0.040 0.020 0.020 39! Disk Forecast Rates 0.100 0.100 0.060 0.020 0.030 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.2x 3.0x 2.4x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 90.00% 90.00% 94.00% 98.00% 98.00% Uncertainties 10.00% 9.00% 5.00% 2.00% 2.00%