2014/08/21 06:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 6 12139 4 52 15 0.003 0.006 0.003 0.001 0.001 54! 7 12141 2 23 16 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.000 0.001 28 2 12143 8 29 -4 0.010 0.020 0.007 0.002 0.003 29 4 12146 10 -17 9 0.020 0.020 0.010 0.003 0.004 19 1 12147 2 -29 -9 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.000 0.000 30! 3 12148 20 -37 6 0.070 0.060 0.030 0.010 0.010 37! Disk Forecast Rates 0.100 0.100 0.050 0.020 0.020 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.3x 3.0x 2.5x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 90.00% 90.00% 95.00% 98.00% 98.00% Uncertainties 10.00% 8.00% 4.00% 2.00% 2.00%