2014/08/22 04:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 8 12139 3 63 15 0.002 0.005 0.002 0.000 0.001 64! 7 12141 3 37 15 0.002 0.004 0.002 0.000 0.001 39! 3 12143 6 41 -5 0.007 0.010 0.005 0.001 0.002 41! 5 12146 3 -4 10 0.002 0.004 0.002 0.000 0.001 10 2 12147 0 -16 -10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 18 4 12148 12 -24 5 0.030 0.030 0.010 0.004 0.006 24 Disk Forecast Rates 0.040 0.050 0.020 0.006 0.010 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.4x 3.5x 2.9x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 96.00% 95.00% 98.00% 99.40% 99.00% Uncertainties 4.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.80% 1.00%