2014/09/05 05:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 6 12151 6 91 -8 0.006 0.009 0.004 0.001 0.002 91! 4 12152 13 41 -15 0.030 0.030 0.010 0.005 0.006 43! 2 12154 2 -5 -18 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 18 3 12155 11 -55 -20 0.020 0.030 0.010 0.004 0.005 58! 5 12157 4 -64 -13 0.003 0.005 0.002 0.000 0.001 65! Disk Forecast Rates 0.060 0.080 0.030 0.010 0.010 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.4x 3.4x 2.9x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 94.00% 93.00% 97.00% 99.00% 99.00% Uncertainties 6.00% 5.00% 3.00% 1.00% 1.00%