2014/09/05 15:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 3 12152 15 46 -15 0.040 0.040 0.020 0.007 0.008 48! 2 12154 2 0 -18 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 18 1 12155+ 38 -50 -20 0.300 0.200 0.080 0.040 0.030 53! Disk Forecast Rates 0.300 0.200 0.100 0.050 0.040 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.2x 2.8x 2.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 95.00% 96.00% Uncertainties 20.00% 10.00% 7.00% 5.00% 3.00%