2014/09/05 23:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 4 12152 15 51 -15 0.040 0.040 0.020 0.006 0.007 53! 3 12154 1 4 -18 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 18 1 12155+ 41 -45 -20 0.300 0.200 0.090 0.050 0.040 49! 6 12158 19 -69 16 0.070 0.060 0.030 0.010 0.010 70! Disk Forecast Rates 0.400 0.300 0.100 0.070 0.060 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.2x 2.8x 2.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 70.00% 70.00% 90.00% 94.00% 94.00% Uncertainties 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 6.00% 4.00%