2014/09/07 15:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 3 12154 2 27 -18 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 32! 1 12155+ 38 -24 -20 0.300 0.200 0.080 0.040 0.030 31! 6 12158 19 -45 15 0.060 0.060 0.030 0.010 0.010 47! 2 12159 4 -51 -20 0.004 0.006 0.003 0.001 0.001 54! 5 12160 8 63 -9 0.010 0.020 0.008 0.002 0.003 63! Disk Forecast Rates 0.300 0.300 0.100 0.060 0.050 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.2x 2.8x 2.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 94.00% 95.00% Uncertainties 20.00% 20.00% 9.00% 6.00% 4.00%