2014/09/15 05:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 4 12157 10 66 -15 0.020 0.020 0.010 0.003 0.004 67! 10 12158 20 56 16 0.070 0.060 0.030 0.010 0.010 58! 2 12163 1 35 -16 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 38! 3 12164 3 16 -14 0.002 0.003 0.001 0.000 0.001 21 9 12166+ 6 -40 13 0.007 0.010 0.005 0.001 0.002 42! Disk Forecast Rates 0.100 0.100 0.050 0.020 0.020 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.3x 3.0x 2.5x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 90.00% 90.00% 95.00% 98.00% 98.00% Uncertainties 9.00% 7.00% 4.00% 2.00% 2.00%