2014/09/15 07:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 4 12157 7 67 -15 0.010 0.010 0.006 0.001 0.002 68! 9 12158 20 57 16 0.070 0.070 0.030 0.010 0.010 59! 2 12163 1 36 -16 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 39! 3 12164 4 17 -14 0.003 0.005 0.002 0.000 0.001 22 8 12166+ 6 -39 13 0.006 0.010 0.004 0.001 0.002 41! Disk Forecast Rates 0.090 0.100 0.040 0.010 0.020 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.3x 3.0x 2.5x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 91.00% 91.00% 96.00% 99.00% 98.00% Uncertainties 8.00% 7.00% 3.00% 2.00% 2.00%