2014/09/23 05:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 3 12169 3 5 5 0.002 0.004 0.002 0.000 0.001 7 4 12170 1 4 11 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 11 2 12171 9 -21 -10 0.010 0.020 0.008 0.002 0.003 23 1 12172 34 -46 -11 0.200 0.100 0.070 0.030 0.030 47! Disk Forecast Rates 0.200 0.200 0.080 0.040 0.030 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.2x 2.8x 2.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 80.00% 80.00% 92.00% 96.00% 97.00% Uncertainties 20.00% 10.00% 6.00% 4.00% 3.00%