2014/09/27 08:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 2 12171 8 32 -11 0.010 0.020 0.007 0.002 0.003 33! 1 12172+ 64 9 -11 0.700 0.400 0.200 0.100 0.080 14 6 12175 30 29 16 0.200 0.100 0.060 0.030 0.020 33! 4 12176 1 -23 7 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 24 5 12177 13 -62 12 0.030 0.030 0.020 0.005 0.006 63! Disk Forecast Rates 0.900 0.500 0.300 0.200 0.100 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.2x 3.0x 2.4x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 40.00% 60.00% 80.00% 90.00% 90.00% Uncertainties 40.00% 20.00% 20.00% 10.00% 9.00%