2014/10/03 04:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 6 12176 6 54 9 0.006 0.009 0.004 0.001 0.002 54! 7 12177 2 13 12 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 17 5 12178 5 -2 -2 0.006 0.009 0.004 0.001 0.002 2 1 12179 1 -12 -10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 15 Disk Forecast Rates 0.020 0.030 0.020 0.003 0.006 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.8x 2.2x 2.6x 4.3x 3.8x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 98.00% 97.00% 98.00% 99.70% 99.40% Uncertainties 2.00% 3.00% 1.00% 0.50% 0.80%