2014/10/06 09:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 10 12178 7 42 -1 0.009 0.010 0.006 0.001 0.002 42! 7 12181 15 50 -12 0.040 0.040 0.020 0.007 0.008 51! 5 12182 5 7 -15 0.004 0.007 0.003 0.001 0.001 16 2 12184 0 -33 -17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 37! Disk Forecast Rates 0.060 0.070 0.030 0.009 0.010 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.3x 3.2x 2.7x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 94.00% 93.00% 97.00% 99.10% 99.00% Uncertainties 6.00% 5.00% 3.00% 1.00% 1.00%