2014/11/03 08:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 5 12201 5 -18 -5 0.005 0.009 0.004 0.001 0.001 18 8 12202 6 27 12 0.007 0.010 0.004 0.001 0.002 29 7 12203 5 9 12 0.004 0.007 0.003 0.001 0.001 15 6 12204 1 -34 5 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 34! Disk Forecast Rates 0.020 0.030 0.010 0.003 0.005 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.8x 2.3x 2.6x 4.6x 4.0x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 98.00% 97.00% 99.00% 99.70% 99.50% Uncertainties 2.00% 3.00% 1.00% 0.40% 0.80%