2014/12/04 04:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 2 12217+ 5 65 -17 0.006 0.009 0.004 0.001 0.002 67! 7 12218 8 53 17 0.010 0.020 0.007 0.002 0.003 55! 5 12221 4 28 5 0.003 0.005 0.002 0.000 0.001 28 1 12222 30 24 -20 0.200 0.100 0.060 0.030 0.020 31! 3 12225 1 -14 -17 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 22 4 12227 7 -56 -5 0.009 0.010 0.006 0.001 0.002 56! Disk Forecast Rates 0.200 0.200 0.080 0.030 0.030 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.2x 2.9x 2.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 80.00% 80.00% 92.00% 97.00% 97.00% Uncertainties 20.00% 10.00% 6.00% 3.00% 3.00%