2014/12/04 09:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 7 12218 9 56 17 0.020 0.020 0.009 0.003 0.004 58! 5 12221 3 31 5 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.000 0.001 31! 1 12222 33 27 -20 0.200 0.100 0.070 0.030 0.030 33! 3 12225 1 -11 -17 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 20 2 12226 1 53 -18 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 55! 4 12227 7 -53 -5 0.008 0.010 0.005 0.001 0.002 53! Disk Forecast Rates 0.200 0.200 0.080 0.040 0.030 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.1x 2.2x 2.8x 2.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 80.00% 80.00% 92.00% 96.00% 97.00% Uncertainties 20.00% 10.00% 6.00% 4.00% 3.00%