2014/12/09 02:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 4 12227 2 8 -4 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 8 1 12230 11 -34 -15 0.020 0.030 0.010 0.004 0.005 37! 5 12231 2 2 -5 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 5 6 12232 18 -58 11 0.060 0.050 0.020 0.009 0.010 59! Disk Forecast Rates 0.080 0.080 0.040 0.010 0.020 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.3x 3.1x 2.6x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 92.00% 92.00% 96.00% 99.00% 98.00% Uncertainties 7.00% 6.00% 3.00% 1.00% 1.00%