2014/12/09 04:59 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 4 12227 2 9 -4 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 9 1 12230 15 -33 -15 0.040 0.040 0.020 0.007 0.008 36! 5 12231 1 3 -5 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 5 6 12232 17 -57 11 0.050 0.050 0.020 0.009 0.010 58! Disk Forecast Rates 0.100 0.100 0.040 0.020 0.020 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.7x 2.2x 2.3x 3.1x 2.6x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 91.00% 91.00% 96.00% 98.00% 98.00% Uncertainties 9.00% 7.00% 4.00% 2.00% 2.00%